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Feb
28

AIG Earnings Report

By Chuck
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AIG REPORTS Q4 -$1.25 (ADJ) V $0.60E; FY $2.39 V $5.39E; REV $110.06B V $112.86B  est.   Headline loss includes unrealized market valuation loss of $11.5 billion on AIGFP super senior credit default swap portfolio

Included in both the full year and fourth quarter 2007 net income (loss) and adjusted net income (loss) were charges of approximately $11.47 billion pretax ($7.46 billion after tax) and $11.12 billion pretax ($7.23 billion after tax), respectively, for a net unrealized market valuation loss related to the AIG Financial Products Corp.(AIGFP) super senior credit default swap portfolio. AIG continues to believe that the unrealized market valuation losses on this super senior credit default swap portfolio are not indicative of the losses AIGFP may realize over time.
- Under the terms of these credit derivatives, losses to AIG would result from the credit impairment of any bonds AIG would acquire in satisfying its swap obligations. Based upon its most current analyses, AIG believes that any credit impairment losses realized over time by AIGFP will not be material to AIG’s consolidated financial condition, although it is possible that realized losses could be material to AIG’s consolidated results of operations for an individual reporting period. Except to the extent of any such realized credit impairment losses, AIG expects AIGFP’s unrealized market valuation losses to reverse over the remaining life of the super senior credit default swap portfolio.

(It might turn into a loss, but they are hoping it might not turn into a loss)

2 Comments

1

Hi CHUCK,

Do you want to comment anything on DECK earnings? I don’t seem to understand that they handily beat the consensus by 0.28 cents and still got trashed. I’m ready to short some, if it’s a true breakdown.

Please let us know your thoughts.

Thanks,

HJ

P.S.: CMI looks like it wants to move down. Ready to short…

2

I would only short DECK if it dropped below 110 (lower low’s). I just don’t see a lot of overhead resistance there.

CMI looks like a much better short candidate. I might pick that one up.

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