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Philly Fed Index

Posted: May 15, 2008 at 10:04 am by Lisa 

FED SETS OVERNIGHT REPOS, ACCEPTS $10.25B 

The Fed is, also, opening the lending window to smaller banks now.

May Philadelphia Fed numbers not as bad as the prior numbers:

MAY PHILADELPHIA FED INDEX: -15.6 V -19E

- New Orders: -3.7 v -18.8 prior

- Employment: -1 v -11.1 prior

- Prices Paid: 53.8 v 51.6 prior

- Inventories: -13.1 v -26.2 prior

- Six-month business conditions outlook: 28.2 v 13.7 prior

Comments

10 Responses to “Philly Fed Index”

  1. ecklebob on May 15th, 2008 12:38 pm

    Why stop with community banks? I’ll bet next month Pawn shops will be included!

  2. Noel Thomas on May 15th, 2008 12:45 pm

    Lisa,

    Just in case anyone cares.

    We now have the VIX resting at
    16.75.

    Complacency du jour.

    Hope you’ve been well!

    Noel

  3. chris on May 15th, 2008 1:39 pm

    Is closing the enron loophole on oil contracts today a positive or negative for the financials?

  4. ecklebob on May 15th, 2008 2:01 pm

    (Bloomberg) A separate report showed the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo index of homebuilder sentiment unexpectedly dropped this month to 19, signaling the housing slump will continue. The measure reached a record low of 18 in December. Readings under 50 mean most respondents view conditions as poor. AND THE XHB IS UP 1.9% AS I POST THIS. Around and around the mullberry bush the…

  5. Lisa on May 15th, 2008 2:21 pm

    Chris,
    I don’t know whether it’s a positive or not, we’ll check into it.

    Ecklebob,
    We are going to just watch them skip around the mulberry bush through Friday.

    Noel,
    Complacency at this point is not a very pretty thing to watch. I have been well, just really busy! :)

  6. Dave on May 15th, 2008 2:23 pm

    Noel -

    Thanks for the VIX update. Chuck just posted a chart from one of the RT readers a few days ago which shows that a VIX level under 17 occurs almost exclusively in bull markets. Check it out if you have not seen it. Be careful if you are short.

    Eckle - I just saw the news flash on CNBC that the NAHB homebuilder sentiment dropped. I hope the bad news doesn’t move the XHB up on you.
    Do you have any other short positions??

  7. ecklebob on May 15th, 2008 2:31 pm

    Dave, I am short via puts Sept. SPY, QQQQ, XLF, DAX, XHB. Holding a tiny May VIX $25 call position. I cashed out yesterday on GM puts w/30% profit. I am patient and la la land trading wont last forever.

  8. ecklebob on May 15th, 2008 2:40 pm

    Correction: My DAX puts are June.

  9. Dave on May 15th, 2008 2:49 pm

    Eckle -

    Good call on GM. That thing really took a dump.

    I am also “long term” bearish on the market, but will change my mind if we were to get an S&P close above 1445. I don’t believe the market will get to 1445 this year, but I won’t count anything out. I like your plays, but I could never be that patient to do it myself. :)

    I trade some futures (I have one position…short the British Pound) but haven’t traded options in a while.

  10. ecklebob on May 15th, 2008 2:54 pm

    Dave, I am with you on the bailout point. GM has been very good to me as a short term trade. While I don’t trade futures, I believe your British Pound position is … how would a Brit put it?… Spot on old bean.

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