New Zealand Credit Rating In Danger Of Downgrade

July 16, 2009 0:48 am · 0 comments

by Chuck

in Market Updates

Tonight Fitch Ratings has issued a statement that the sovereign rating of New Zealand is in jeopardy.

Fitch lowers New Zealand’s sovereign outlook to Negative from Positive; rating affirmed at AA+

Outlook cut reflects medium term outlook
New Zealand has large current account deficit and rising foreign indebtedness; may need stronger fiscal adjustment. Sees credit fundamentals and public finances, but economy may fall into low-growth trap.

Conversely, a continuing deterioration in the net external debt and liability position would likely lead to a downgrade of New Zealand”s sovereign ratings. The typical duration of a Fitch sovereign rating Outlook is 12-24 months and implies a greater than 50% chance that the rating will be downgraded.

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