Stock Market Wrap for December 1 2009

December 2, 2009 0:38 am · 23 comments

by Chuck

in Market Updates


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{ 23 comments }

dc December 2, 2009 at 4:26 AM

tell us where you think the market is going? u mean u have no opinion?

Brett December 2, 2009 at 4:56 AM

Who would you like to see replace the Fed Chief? Constant criticism without contribution is a theme of yours, besides taking your eye off the market ball and consistently losing money.

Andy December 2, 2009 at 5:52 AM

Take a look at a WEEKLY chart of the S&P500. Market is still in bullish mode as the ascending trendline from 2007 is about to be taken out.

dc December 2, 2009 at 8:33 AM

Can we have a vote:

(A) Those who think Chuck is a competent trader.

(B) Those who think he is not.

Please select one…

guglielmo December 2, 2009 at 8:58 AM

i think he has charting skills even though his timing has been very much off to say the least, for instance he spoke of his shorting apple at about 125$ and that stock went up over $200k.

dc December 2, 2009 at 9:30 AM

If he has charting skills, he should have recognised that apple has broken the downtrend/resistance line and stop out. Subsequently, he should have gone long. This is what i call good charting skills. If your timing is off, it means you are not competent. Anyone can tell you if i throw a stone upward, it will eventually return to the ground. But someone more competent will tell you if you throw with certain amount of force, it will reach XX height before falling back in YY time to the ground. This is what i call good analysis. Otherwise, anyone can tell you oil will be worth $200 one day and it will come true because of limited supply & growing demand and oil being a limited resource.

guglielmo December 2, 2009 at 2:06 PM

firstable he should start to aknowledge when he screws up and being more straithforward (no soap box endless chit chat),i ve never heard
him saying that regardless of situations
i have to concede that this market has screw up more people recently than in a long time( my guess), in ref. to the seemingly endless advance based on…..u know what.(B-S)
lastly i heard that the market is also being defined as the big humbler,
or in other words it does what it wants regardless of being a good chartist or not, i am not defending Chuck,in any case….

Chuck December 2, 2009 at 7:37 PM

Don Chin.. How nice to see you again. I’ll clear up a few things for you since I realize you don’t remember too much. What on earth makes you think I am still short Apple from 125?? That was so long ago, but you seem to ignore that fact ;)

I day trade, I hold long term, I do positions trades. I day trade long and short, whatever takes money out of the market. My analysis is ‘NOT’ geared for those who are day traders. I advise many times that people should not day trade if they don’t understand the markets. I’m sorry that you don’t agree with my analysis of where the markets will end up. Don Chin.. please go long the market all you want, no one is stopping you in case you have not noticed. ;)

Anonymous December 3, 2009 at 8:52 AM

chuck, thanks for logging me out. show the people here who worshipped you your trading account if u r real. I bet
with my reputation u r a losing trader. don’t tell the world what u think, show the people u have made $$. you r nothing but an empty vessel…BS…

Ryhan December 2, 2009 at 10:20 AM

New highs yet again…… maximum pain to bears now

Me XMan December 2, 2009 at 10:21 AM

Wow. New high.

dc December 2, 2009 at 10:52 AM

I am a bear too, but not a stupid one! I know the market has no fundamentals in its rise but who cares? Just trade it as it is. I am not a sucker of blind faith.

JMF December 2, 2009 at 1:30 PM

I am a bear long term on stocks, but as long as the dollar weakens, the market manipulators are going to push this market up in the near term. There will be a day of reckoning when either the dollar goes down the perverbial toilet or a prolong selloff begins. However, I don’t believe the stock market will fall off a cliff on any given day. There is no rush to start unloading stocks. The rally may be based on BS, but like DC says, “who cares”. Trade the trend, and right now it is bullish. Wealth will be destroyed either way in the US, either by the falling dollar, an equities crash, or even worse both. I like gold and precious metals long term.

TBTF December 2, 2009 at 5:07 PM

I got booted for giving advice back in April that smart bears don’t short market leaders like AAPL, GS, AMZN and GOOG, etc. Smart bears feast on low hanging fruit under the 200 day moving average. I still see that Chuckie has not learned that lesson. Also, the recent sideways action is bullish as the market digests the recent runup before another march higher. Cash is also a position that every trader should go often as it clears your bias. Peace all!

Chuck December 2, 2009 at 7:46 PM

TBTF.. You were booted because you constantly log in with different names and clutter my server with proxy crap ;)

You remember what ‘you’ said back in August? I do ;)

Caldera December 2, 2009 at 8:44 PM

All these posts… if you really have something constructive to say… why don’t you say it in an email to Chuck? If you are unhappy with the analysis provided…. why don’t you go to another site? What gives you the right to denigrate Chuck who provides this site free of charge? I repeat if you don’t like the analysis… MOVE ON… to a site you prefer and has your own beliefs.

hdeen December 2, 2009 at 9:30 PM

hello chuck,

thanks for the video

canada keeps on listening

market over bought at this time

no doubt in my mind

no one can know the future though

but right now with limited amouts of money entering the system

another deflationary event could be setting up

the market would then slide down

and the fed would again have to save the show

by creating whatever liquidity it would take

to reflate and stabalize prices

thing though is that every day 7 billion people need to eat

just that is quite technological achievement

to get them all comfortable and playing vedeo games

and living in peace

is pehaps something that will never hapen

after thousands even tens of thousands of years

humanity has arived here today

many many wonderfull things have been done

are still being done

in art music architecture literature etc

but the best of the best remains beyoud

the reality of many

today mankind is interlarded through and through

with opposing forces

but i say that most of the considerations

which drove developement in the past

and which are still driving developement now

are closely tide in to the establishment

of an ever larger and larger tax base

somehow in some way the good and beautifull

was never much considered as an ultimate goal or option

to have man live in peace with themselves

and with each other

to have humanity live in harmony with nature

and and all such noble nad high aims

as equality and education for everyone

would just not have been good for taxes

but now it might very well come to pass

that a whole lot of even the powerfull and rich

are getting to circle the drain

and will end up getting sucked down with the rest of us

just whats it going to look like

without oil

for one thing

there might just be some mountain tribes

somewhere that will come out ok

at least they will get to keep thier land

later hdeen

john December 2, 2009 at 11:29 PM

Hi Chuck,

Chuck always tells you dumb %^*($% to trade what you think he is not telling you what to do. He is giving an opinion mothing more. If you base all your trades off what he thinks you should not be a trader.

I get my info form this site and many others, Slope of hope is another favorite, Tim agrees with Chuck and so do I. This is going to end in a crash plain and simple there is no other way to resolve this, its not going to be a slow burn as most think.

The dollar imploding is not a good thing for stocks, how long do you think China and Japan is going to put up with this shit. Its only a matter of time before bonds get dumped in a huge way.

The first credit crisis was only a warm up to what is comming.

Matt December 3, 2009 at 6:43 AM

You seem to be very rigid in the prices you are aiming for i.e. “Sell or Go Short here!” The market does not care what you want, so take what it gives you.

Trading is just like any other business. Buying something for less than it is worth and selling it for more than it is worth. A good business doesn’t purchase inventory at a greater value than it is worth, and neither does a good trader. One more point: Location, Location, Location. It’s vital in business and vital in trading. Pick your location, understand the probabilities, let the trade come to you, execute, and actively manage your trade by knowing when it has been invalidated, so you are bound to get the exit price that you need.

All the best!

guglielmo December 3, 2009 at 11:17 AM

till proven otherwise Chuck has been a loser for at least the last 6 months

Dave December 3, 2009 at 3:00 PM

Guglielmo -

Why so mean-spirited? Yes, Chuck’s technical analysis has clearly been a poor predictor of the market direction since early this year, but, he is not a “loser”. Being wrong about the market doesn’t make you a loser. Chuck is a smart, hard-working guy that does a lot of volunteer work. If you want to criticize his day to day technical analysis results this year…that seems to be fair. But no need to get personal.

Stephan_W December 3, 2009 at 4:23 PM

hey you bums. Now you are quiet when the market goes down. Those who bitch the loudest have probably never traded a day in your life but continue to think the market will go up forever.And you criticize anyone for a negative view.

You complainers are disgusting!

dc December 4, 2009 at 10:48 AM

Stephan,

Please look into the mirror before you comment. Are you trying to me/us you are able to hold your own trades? We are not complainers, we are realists!!
I believe you are a novice at best…

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