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Unemployment Data – January Report Includes New Survey Methodology

2 Responses to “Unemployment Data – January Report Includes New Survey Methodology”

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  1. bhydeman says:

    All day today I wondered if anybody else noticed the change in methodology. Of course the state-run media is ignoring that part of the story. Didn’t the BLS make one or two changes last year as well?

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  1. [...] Revisions to Establishment Survey Data In accordance with annual practice, the establishment survey data have been revised to reflect comprehensive universe counts of payroll jobs, or benchmarks. These counts are derived principally from unemployment insurance tax records for March 2009. As a result of the benchmark process, all data series were subject to revision from April 2008 forward, the time period since the last benchmark was established. In addition, with this release, the seasonally adjusted establishment survey data from January 2005 forward were subject to revision due to the introduction of updated seasonal adjustment factors. Table A presents revised total nonfarm employment data on a seasonally adjust- ed basis for January through December 2009. The revised data for April 2009 forward incorporate the effect of applying the rate of change measured by the sample to the new benchmark level, as well as updated net business birth/death model adjustments and new seasonal adjustment factors. The November and December 2009 revisions also reflect the routine incorporation of additional sample receipts into the November final and December second preliminary estimates. The total nonfarm employment level for March 2009 was revised down- ward by 902,000 (930,000 on a seasonally adjusted basis), or 0.7 percent. The previously published level for December 2009 was revised downward 1,390,000 (1,363,000 on a seasonally adjusted basis).[…] But it gets worse: http://blog.rebeltraders.net/2010/02/05/unemployment-data-january-report-includes-new-survey-methodo... [...]



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