California May Resort To Making Payments with IOU’s – Again

California is a state that is essentially borrowing from one credit card to pay another. For close to two years California has had to resort to making payments with IOUs, including tax payers who had a refund owed to them.

Here we go again…

State Controller John Chiang said Tuesday that without a state budget, California’s government would be unable to pay its bills in late August (or maybe early September). That means issuing IOUs to some people. Possible dates for IOUs could be either Aug. 27 or Aug. 31, when big payments to schools are due, according to this schedule on the controller’s website.

This announcement, in the upside down world of California’s badly broken budget politics, felt almost like good news. With lawmakers and the governor making little progress on the budget — and showing little interest in making that little progress — the threat of IOUs seemed to provide hope that there’s a deadline out there, somewhere in the near future, that might force these guys to pass a budget.

Or maybe it won’t. Democratic legislative leaders and Gov. Schwarzenegger have all raised the possibility that there may not be a budget agreement this summer — or even this fall — if their demands aren’t met. Given the intransigence, maybe the controller should try issuing IOUs sooner rather than later, as a test of whether a failure to pay the state’s bills might be a spur to real budget action. (NBC_LA)




Los Angeles – A City of That Needs Some Angels Now

More troubles for California, this time it is the city of Los Angeles. The City Controller said that Los Angeles may be broke within weeks.

Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa is calling for a shut down of nonessential city services two days a week. The nonessential services are those that don’t generate any revenue for the city.

[The Mayor] also said the Department of Water and Power is on a path to a negative credit rating watch. The City Council voted to block a proposed electricity rate increase last week.

Fitch Ratings yesterday withdrew its AA- rating on $720 million of bonds the department planned to sell this month, according to a press release. The debt-rating company said it had assumed a rate increase in the credit assessment. The sale, which included $616 million of taxable Build America obligations, has been postponed, according to the Fitch release. […]

[…] Los Angeles is making progress with plans to offer early retirement to 2,400 city workers and eliminate 1,000 other jobs, Greuel said in a separate interview. The city is also proceeding with plans to privatize operations such as city-owned parking lots.

Note: Early retirement? With the pension system busted and broke it sound like those moving into retirement will just be walking into another hole down the road. (BusinessWeek)




California Pension System Is $500 Billion Unfunded

The pension fund of California is unfunded by more than $500 Billion. This is eight times higher than what is officially been reported.

That’s the finding from a study released Monday by Stanford University’s public policy program, confirming a recent report with similar, stunning findings from Northwestern University and the University of Chicago.

To put that number in perspective, it’s almost seven times greater than all the outstanding voter-approved state general obligation bonds in California.

Why should Californians care? Because this year’s unfunded pension liability is next year’s budget cut to important programs. For a glimpse of California’s budgetary future, look no further than the $5.5 billion diverted this year from higher education, transit, parks and other programs in order to pay just a tiny bit toward current unfunded pension and healthcare promises. That figure is set to triple within 10 years and — absent reform — to continue to grow, crowding out funding for many programs vital to the overwhelming majority of Californians.[…] (LA TIMES) h/t Butch,Mary

And what happens to crawl out of the wires just a few minutes ago?

Wednesday, April 07, 2010 12:54:59 AM -  (US) Moody’s cuts Los Angeles, California’s general obligation (GO) bonds by 1 notch to Aa3 from Aa2. – The downgrade primarily reflects the continued erosion of the city’s historically better-than-average willingness and ability to quickly rebalance its budget mid-year.

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California Budget Crisis – IOU’s Again?

The California budget is in a ‘precarious’ condition. Once again California is bleeding money, and there are not enough band aids to control the bleeding.

California Controller John Chiang has stated that the state may have to issue IOUs for the second time in as many years. California has a $20 Billion budget deficit.

“If solutions are slow to emerge and if they are neither credible nor sustainable, California will once again be unable to timely meet all of its payment obligations and my office will be forced to seek costly emergency financing, or conserve cash by delaying payments or issuing IOUs,” Chiang wrote.

The state issued $2.6 billion of the vouchers last year to pay bills, resorting to promissory notes instead of cash for the second time since the Great Depression as Schwarzenegger and the Legislature were deadlocked over how to close an imbalance that totaled $26 billion at the time. The tactic allowed it to preserve cash for the highest-priority bills, including payments to bondholders, until an accord was reached and the state was able to sell debt to generate funds. […] (Bloomberg)

When California issued IOUs last year it created more hardship for small businesses and residents who were already hurting for cash. If California repeats the same IOU program we can expect to see a trickle down effect of more small business failures and an increase in delinquency rates in all forms of credit products, including mortgage payments.

Illinois Is Technically Insolvent

Illinois is technically insolvent…

Illinois appears to meet classic definitions of insolvency: Its liabilities far exceed its assets, and it’s not generating enough cash to pay its bills. Private companies in similar circumstances often shut down or file for bankruptcy protection.

"I would describe bankruptcy as the inability to pay one’s bills," says Jim Nowlan, senior fellow at the University of Illinois’ Institute of Government and Public Affairs. "We’re close to de facto bankruptcy, if not de jure bankruptcy." […]

[…] While Illinois doesn’t have the option of shutting its doors or shedding debts in a bankruptcy reorganization, it seems powerless to avert the practical equivalent. Despite a budget shortfall estimated to be as high as $5.7 billion, state officials haven’t shown the political will to either raise taxes or cut spending sufficiently to close the gap.

As a result, fiscal paralysis is spreading through state government. Unpaid bills to suppliers are piling up. State employees, even legislators, are forced to pay their medical bills upfront because some doctors are tired of waiting to be paid by the state. The University of Illinois, owed $400 million, recently instituted furloughs, and there are fears it may not make payroll in March if the shortfall continues.

Without quick corrective action or a sharp economic upturn, Illinois is headed toward a governmental collapse. At some point, unpaid vendors will stop bidding on state contracts, investors will refuse to buy Illinois bonds and state employees will get paid in scrip, as California did last year.

"The crisis will come when you see state institutions shutting down because they can’t pay their employees," says David Merriman, head of the economics department at the University of Illinois at Chicago.

A record $5.1 billion in state bills was past due at yearend, almost doubling to 92 days from 48 days a year earlier the average amount of time it takes the state to pay vendors such as doctors, hospitals, non-profit service providers and other contractors. (source: Chicago Business)

What happens when state budgets are broke? Only one of two things can happen, cut services and employees or raise taxes. Anyone care to guess which way Illinois will go?

In my own state of New Jersey, Governor Christie takes over the helm from Governor Corzine tomorrow. First order of business will be the budget. New Jersey has serious problems as well and expectations are for deep cuts across the board. But I won’t rule out tax hikes down the road either.

Stay tuned, the budget problems facing the states is just beginning.

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Tax Refunds In California – IOU’s Again?

Remember last year when California was so cash poor they had to issue IOU’s instead of actual payments. (See December 31, 2008 post “tax refunds in California may be IOU’s”).

Well now it is Déjà vu again.

California is facing yet another cash crunch this year, and on top of that their debt rating was just cut to A- over the deepening budget situation.

Standard & Poor’s on Wednesday cut its rating on California’s $64 billion in general-obligation debt to A-minus from A and warned that the outlook was "negative," meaning another reduction could loom.

S&P cited new concerns about the state’s finances, including a possible cash shortage "if the state’s revenue and spending trajectories continue."

Scrambling to close a $20-billion budget gap, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger has proposed a number of one-time fixes — including having the federal government contribute nearly $7 billion in new aid. Yet the state’s chief budget analyst believes the odds of getting that much help from the U.S. are "almost nonexistent."

S&P worries that the state could face a cash crunch in March, before it receives the income tax payments due in April.

"There could be days in March when they go into a negative cash position," said Gabriel Petek, an S&P analyst in San Francisco.

Although Petek said he didn’t believe California would be in jeopardy of missing any payments due on its debt, he said the government might again pay other obligations with IOUs, or the state might again require a short-term loan from Wall Street.(Source: LA Times)

This sounds very similar to the situation one year ago, although this time the credit rating has deteriorated, and so to has the fiscal outlook for California. I sure would hate to be expecting a tax refund in California this year (again).

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CNBC Reveals Just How Stupid They Are

… Of course CNBC is already known worldwide as the most obnoxious, silly, unprofessional, and absurdly stupid. But in an interview today during CNBC’s ‘Power Lunch’ segment California Attorney Jerry Brown discusses a suit being filed against State Street Bank of willful breach of contract. A breach that was originally brought to the attorney general through a whistle blower system, not by Mr. Brown himself.

Instead, CNBC is more concerned that Mr. Brown is simply using this as some sort of publicity stunt to gain popularity for a possible run at the Governor seat.

The interview that follows (video below) reveals just how stupid CNBC really is. Forget all about the suit against State Street, forget all about how the California pension system may have been screwed by State Street Bank, forget all of that and just ask him if he is running for Governor and is picking on State Street.

CNBC: The world already knows you are stupid (you employ Jim Cramer and Dennis Kneal, need any more examples?), but this interview today reinforces just how terrible your anchors, staff, and production departments really are.

CNBC – First Worldwide In Bull Shit

The good part begins a few minutes in, but it is worth watching the whole of it so you get the full story.

California IOUs – Banks Will Stop Accepting This Friday

Well if California residents don’t have enough problems already. Now the IOUs that the state government has been issuing as payment will no longer be accepted by major banks starting this Friday.

A group of the biggest U.S. banks said they would stop accepting California’s IOUs on Friday, adding pressure on the state to close its $26.3 billion annual budget gap.

he development is the latest twist in California’s struggle to deal with the effects of the recession. After state leaders failed to agree on budget solutions last week, California began issuing IOUs — or “individual registered warrants” — to hundreds of thousands of creditors. State Controller John Chiang said that without IOUs, California would run out of cash by July’s end.

But now, if California continues to issue the IOUs, creditors will be forced to hold on to them until they mature on Oct. 2, or find other banks to honor them. When the IOUs mature, holders will be paid back directly by the state at an annual 3.75% interest rate. Some banks might also work with creditors to come up with an interim solution, such as extending them a line of credit, said Beth Mills, a California Bankers Association spokeswoman.[...]

The group of banks included Bank of America Corp., Citigroup Inc., Wells Fargo & Co. and J.P. Morgan Chase & Co., among others. The banks had previously committed to accepting state IOUs as payment. California plans to issue more than $3 billion of IOUs in July.[...] (Source: WSJ)

What a disgrace, fist these super ‘too big to fail’ financial institutions get bailed out with tax payer funds and then turn around and stiff the public.

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