Bloody Tuesday

Special post…

The U.S. stock market is set for a bloody open on Tuesday. At the time of this writing U.S. equity futures are down significantly with the S&P 500 futures down 2.7%. Dow futures will place the Dow Industrial Average at market open well below the 10,000 threshold.

At this moment I am seeing significant liquidation events taking place, and the global currency markets are in a state of complete disarray. Some dealer chatter currently centers around Spain, with a rumor circulating that a major bank in Spain has needed to borrow short term funding from the government. Additionally, other chatter surrounds Spanish hedge funds may be in trouble.

Also of note is the just announced Spanish bill auction results:

SPAIN DEBT AGENCY (TESORO) 3-MONTH AND 6-MONTH BILL AUCTION RESULTS

- Sells €1.06B in 3-month Bills, avg yield 0.645% v 0.549% prior; Bid-to-cover: 3.14X x v 3.3x prior
- Sells €2B in 6-month Bills, avg yield 1.26% v 0.736% prior; Bid-to-cover: 1.91X v 2.12x prior

The 6 month bill auction saw the average yield nearly double from the prior auction on growing economic concerns in Spain.

The European economic concerns have pushed the Euro further downward. The EUR/JPY has dropped to a 9 1/2 year low; lowest reading since November 2001.

Markets in Asia were also hit hard in the overnight session:

- Nikkei 225 Index -3.1% at 9,459
- Hang Seng Index -3.5% at 18,985
- Australia S&P ASX200 -3.0% at 4,265
- Shanghai Composite Index -1.9% at 2,622

S&P 500 futures are currently near a critical short term support level of 1040, which is the February 2010 lows.

S&P 500 Futures

 




S&P 500 E-Mini Futures Chart – Hourly Scale

S&P 500 E-Mini Hourly Chart As discussed in the last market video, the S&P 500 E-mini futures broke below a trend line last Friday which was present on the hourly chart.

While the U.S. markets were closed today, futures trading continued for part of the day. At this time the S&P e-mini futures are up to the resistance level (trend line), and that resistance level appears to be holding at this time.




Special Market Update for November 26 2009

S&P 500 E-Mini Futures Nose Dive

Following the FX market moves which began late last night the S&P futures have continued to decline significantly. At this time futures are down 22 points.

This is no small drop in the futures market. If these levels remain as they are now expect a large gap down on the US market open tomorrow morning.

S&P futures chart showing price moves since the Wednesday close -

11-26-2009 10-14-42 AM

S&P 500 Futures – E-Mini

The following chart is of the S&P 500 E-mini futures (hourly chart). The bottom of the channel remains a very important level.

As of this moment the market is trapped between 1055 and 1070..

S&P 500 Futures Chart - Hourly Scale

S&P 500 Futures Chart - Hourly Scale

S&P 500 E-Mini Futures Chart

This short term (hourly scale) chart reveals a rising wedge.

Watching the 970 level for confirmation of a break of the wedge to the downside.

S&P 500 Futures

S&P 500 Futures

S&P 500 E-Mini Futures Pre Market Chart

E-Mini Futures Chart

E-Mini Futures Chart

S&P 500 E-Mini Futures Charts

Pre market levels to watch. The first chart is an hourly chart with near term support / resistance levels. The second chart is that of a daily scale and highlights the potential head & shoulders pattern.

S&P 500 Futures Hourly chart 7-6-09

S&P 500 Futures Chart 7-6-09